USD/JPY: Špatná obchodní strategie nebo malý stop loss? Vývoj reálného obchodu

3. září 2013

Minulý týden jsme vás informovali o obchodní příležitosti na měnovém páru USD/JPY. Pojďte se podívat, jak se obchodní příkaz vyvíjí, případně jak skončil. Jaký jsme realizovali zisk nebo ztrátu. Tento příkaz jsem osobně obchodoval i na reálném účtu.




USD/JPY: Špatná obchodní strategie nebo malý stop loss? Vývoj reálného obchoduUSD/JPY: Špatná obchodní strategie nebo malý stop loss? Vývoj reálného obchodu

Jak již možná víte, obchod neskončil dle představ. Po slibném začátku, kdy byl pár bodů v plusu a na micro účtu by mohl přinést i několik dolarů (asi tři) zisku, se měnový pár otočil a vydal se opačným směrem. V současné době již v obchodě nejsem a vy zřejmě také ne. Ze hry mě vyřadil stop loss. Kde se stala chyba?

Obchodní strategie

Pokud se podíváte na obchodní strategii obálka dlouhodobě, funguje. Existují i mírné úpravy typu kolik ochodů na jeden příkaz, kdy uzavírat atd. Tyto modifikace samozřejmě výrazně ovlivní celkovou úspěšnost, ale našeho obchodu se netýká, protože ten splnil vstup, ale nedal příležitost k uzavření u hranice 1,6 Fibo, případně na jiné hranici, která by byla pro obchod zajímavá. Navíc stop loss je stop loss a přes něj jako zodpovědní tradeři nejdeme.

Fundamenty

Radost z dobrého signálu a klesající trend byl narušen fundamenty. Jak můžete vidět, i když technická analýza hovořila jasně, data trh ovládnou.

Stop loss

Na obchod se aktivoval stop loss. Na micro účtu to znamená cca 20 dolarů ztrátu. To není úplně málo (na micro účet). Náladu jste si mohli ihned zpravit a to opět na USD/JPY, stačilo nakoupit v momentě, kdy pár překonal významnou trendovou klesající „čáru.“

Ani roky zkušeností mě nezachrání od neúspěšného obchodu. I přesto obálku dlouhodobě a celkově s profitem obchoduji a tento obchod mě od ní rozhodně neodradí. Bohužel i ztráty přicházejí a patří do tradingu.

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