Trhy bez velkých hráčů: Pozor na trendové strategie

28. prosinec 2013

Vánoční svátky a omezené množství hráčů způsobuje relativně malé výkyvy na trzích. V době svátků většina společností i traderů odpočívá a peníze v obchodování chybí. Jak během této doby obchodovat a na co si dát pozor.




Trhy bez velkých hráčů: Pozor na trendové strategieTrhy bez velkých hráčů: Pozor na trendové strategie

Pokud nebudete patřit mezi drtivou většinu, která si dává volno, odpočívá, případně aktivně užívá dovolené, tak můžete vydělávat. Obchodování bez těchto hráčů má své výhody, ale i nevýhody, ukážeme si je.

Svátky - nízká likvidita

Osobně se na obchodování v době svátků těším a to z několika důvodů. Na trhu nejsou velcí hráči, instrumenty sice obvykle nedělají velké pohyby, ale jsou čitelné a obchodovatelné. Nutností je zaměření na nižší time frame, obchoduji na 5 až 30 minutách. V takové dny uděláte velké množství obchodů. Počet obchodů je sice nadprůměrný, ale výnos na obchod podprůměrný, protože velcí hráči, kteří hýbou trhem, mají dovolenou.

Jakou zvolit strategii

Rozhodně se podívejte do těch netrendových. Trendové systémy založené na indikátorech a podobně budou dávat velké množství falešných signálů, protože jsou zkreslené malými pohyby. Indikátory v tomto období nepoužívejte.

Pozor na velké pohyby

Ne všichni velcí hráči odpočívají a mohou nízké likvidity využít. Velký objem transakcí od jednoho dodavatele dokáže s trhem raketově pohnout. Někteří hráči toho mohou využít. Pokud tedy obchodujete v době svátků, tak se nenechte „uspat“ malými pohyby a vždy nastavujte stop loss kvůli možnému vstupu velkých hráčů.

Pokud si na tyto dny zvyknete, můžete se na ně těšit. I když se to nezdá a každý chce trend, i v době svátků je možné vydělat více, než v trendový den.

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