Initial Balance: Obchodní strategie

18. březen 2013

Pokud ještě nevíte, jak obchodovat, představíme vám jednoduchou obchodní strategii. Initial balance, česky počáteční rovnováha může být základem vaší obchodní strategie. Jednoduchá a účinná.




Initial Balance: Obchodní strategieInitial Balance: Obchodní strategie

Co je to initial balance?

Initial balance (česky počáteční rovnováha) znamená ve většině případů první hodinu po otevření trhu, případně čas, kdy se na instrumentu výrazně mění podmínky (například u decentralizovaného forexu otvírá Evropa nebo Asie...).

Velcí i malí obchodníci zadávají příkazy s realizací právě po otevření trhu. To znamená, že se trh v první hodině značně pohne a nastíní směr, kterým se bude daný den pohybovat.

Jak obchodovat initial balance?

Obchodování initial balance je velmi jednoduché. V daný čas, většinou v první hodinu, sledujete pouze maximum a minimum. Například u EUR/USD se cena dostala mezi 9:00 a 10:00 nejníže na 1.2991 a nejvýše na 1.3027, zajímají vás pouze tyto ceny.

Pokud následně po 10:00 cena překročí 1.3027 (tedy směrem nahoru), je to signál k nákupu (buy). V opačném případě, cena klesne a protne 1.2991, signál k prodeji (sell).

Na čem obchodovat initial balance?

Instrumentů, kde obchodovat initial balance je mnoho. Počáteční rovnováhu můžete obchodovat například na EUR/USD od 9:00 do 10:00, kdy otevírá Evropa, případně od 0:00 do 8:00, kdy obchoduje Asie. Initial balance lze obchodovat i na komoditách, třeba na kukuřici (corn). A to od 16:35 – 17:34. Počáteční rovnováhu najdete na mnoha instrumentech.

Velikost initial balance a její účinnost

Optimální velikost initial balance a její prolomení závisí na daném instrumentu. Obecně lze říci, že čím je inicial balance menší (rozdíl mezi nejnižší a nejvyšší cenou v daném čase), tím je vyšší pravděpodobnost úspěchu.

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