Devizové intervence na koruně

8. listopad 2013

Česká národní banka se poprvé od roku 2002 odhodlala k devizové intervenci. Hlavním krokem je dodržení inflačního cíle. Jak můžete intervenci využít k obchodování?




Devizové intervence na koruněDevizové intervence na koruně

Jak korunu obchodovat?
Síla koruny
Intervence

Česká národní banka oznámila první devizovou intervenci od roku 2002, trh na to ihned reagoval. Nikoho zřejmě nepřekvapí, že se cena zastavila na hranici 27 korun za euro, tedy na hodnotě, kterou ČNB vyhlásila za klíčovou.

Jak korunu obchodovat?

Cíl je pro následující týdny jasný, ČNB chce držet korunu kolem 27 Kč za jedno euro. Tomu také odpovídá současná cena 26,93 Kč / eur. Česká koruna se tak může stát mnohem atraktivnější, než kdy jindy.

Síla koruny

Až následující dny ukážou, jak je koruna ve skutečnosti silná. Je možné, že po takovém zásahu bude mít koruna snahu navrácení zpět ke středeční hodnotě 25,79 Kč / eur. Koruna by si pro nás mohla připravit poměrně jasné obchody (obchodujeme k navrácení na hodnotu 27 Kč za jedno euro).

Intervence

Jedná se o velký zásah do přirozeného vývoje měny. Především pro indikátory je to velký skok a chce to chvíli času, než se indikátor uklidní a tento extrémní šok a výkyv v podobě intervence zahrne do svých výpočtů. Při obchodování čtyřhodinového grafu budou vaše indikátory stále zkreslené umělým zásahem – intervencí.

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