Libra roste, zlato ztrácí: půlměsíční přehled

19. červen 2014

Půlka června je za námi a my vám přinášíme rekapitulaci toho nejzajímavějšího, co se stalo a stále ještě na trzích děje. Na jaké měnové páry, komodity nebo akcie si dát pozor, kde vidíme příležitost. Dáme vám pár tipů, o kterých sami uvažujeme. Pojďme se na ně podívat.

Libra posiluje

Pozitivních zpráv je na libře čím dál více. Nově se připojuje zvýšení úrokových sazeb, které již potvrdila Bank of England. Aby toho nebylo málo, ratingová agentura S&P změnila výhled AAA z negativního na neutrální. To vše přispělo k silnému růstu libry a to téměř na všech měnových párech. GBPUSD dokonce atakuje více než 5 leté maximum.

Zlato ztrácí, ale má potenciál

Zlato je jednou z nejsledovanějších komodit. V květnu jsme začínali na ceně 1 300 dolarů za jednu unci, červen jsme otevřeli na ceně 1 243 a dnes jsme na 1 270 dolarů za unci. I když zlato za poslední měsíc ztratilo, očekáváme návrat k ceně kolem 1 300 dolarů za unci, kde by tento drahý kov mohl dále oscilovat.

Dolar a inflace

Inflace dnes pokořila inflační cíl a dolar začíná pozvolna růst. Všimnout si toho můžete například na EURUSD, na výše zmíněném GBPUSD to tak patrné není a to především kvůli skvělým zprávám z Anglie.

Co chceme obchodovat

Příležitostí je skutečně hodně a to nejenom na zmíněných instrumentech. Osobně vážně uvažuji o nákupu Libry, která je skvěle rozjetá. Pokud bude pokořena silná hranice 1,7 na GBPUSD, nakoupím. Zlato budu sledovat, mé očekávání je návrat k 1 300 dolarům za trojskou unci, pokud v tomto směru uvidím technické potvrzení, opět zadám příkaz buy. U EURUSD, očekávám v druhé polovině června, oslabení, po potvrzení signálem, uvažuji o prodeji, situace obdobná jako na zlatě, ale s opačným očekáváním.

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